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Four years ago, Hans Blix, the then chief U.N. weapons inspector for
Iraq, told the Spanish daily El Pais “the war was a very high price to
pay
in terms of lives and the destruction of a country when the threat
of weapons proliferation could have been contained by UN inspectors.”
Today, Blix's views ring more true than ever. The former Swedish diplomat
said recently that Bush's troop surge request would not bring peace.
In fact, the opposite may be true. Blix stressed, among other view
he shares in the following interview, that while working through existing
international treaties has some weaknesses, a policy based on unilateralism
and military actions has failed and has been costly in terms of lives
and resources.
Q. Do you believe Bush's troop surge request in Iraq would
end the war more quickly? And, is the troop surge necessary to
win the
peace?
A. No. After Saddam’s tyrannical rule and the long Sunni domination
of Iraq, a new social contract will need to be worked out between
major groups – religious, ethnic and clans. This is a gruelling process
in
which each group will try to mobilize all the strength it can.
So long as there is a huge US presence in the country and its politics,
these
groups will not feel that they themselves are fully responsible
for the
fate of the country. I therefore think that the US should make
clear that there will be a phased withdrawal of all US troops, and that
there
will be no bases left. No Iraqi government that agreed to continued
American bases would be seen by the Iraqi people as genuinely independent.
Q. But isn't it true that no WMDs (weapons of mass destruction)
were found in Iraq?
A. Exactly. After 700 inspections, we did not find any WMDs there,
because there weren’t any. Others believe they saw weapons where there
were none. We know that the inspectors that I commanded gave a description
of the reality that was much nearer the truth than the descriptions
the CIA and British intelligence gave us. In other words, we, as U.N.
inspectors, came very close to the truth in Iraq, whereas national
intelligence did not do so. The result was a war, which meant tens
of thousands of people were killed and a wave of terrorism began in
Iraq. And what was given as a main reason for the war—the elimination
of the weapons of mass destruction—could politely be called a misunderstanding,
although many believe that it was an outright lie.
Q. What is your brief assessment of the situation in Iraq?
A. It is really bad, miserable. I can only hope that the Iraqi government
will gradually be able to have more control. I think that, for the
Iraqi government to have more control, they must show they are not
so dependent on the United States, because public opinion there is
very much against a continued U.S. presence. I think the United States
could help by saying that we will only be here to try to help you stabilize,
but we are determined that we will leave, and we do not want to have
any bases in Iraq. The only positive result was that Saddam, a cruel dictator
and butcher, disappeared, but in all other things the result was truly
bad.
Q. Can you confirm that car bombings are the result of arms
caches that were not secured after the US invasion?
A. No. Our inspectors performed some 700 inspections in Iraq but they
looked for weapons of mass destruction. However, it is well known that
there were enormous quantities of conventional weapons in stores, and
that much was not secured. There is also little doubt in my mind that
more weapons may be coming in from the outside which add to the anarchy
and bloodbath. I have never heard of civil wars ending for the lack
of weapons.
Q. And What about Iran?
A. I think that there is, above all, time. There is no rush in
the case of Iran, no reason to say that you must answer within
two weeks. The CIA has estimated that Iran could have nuclear weapons in five
or ten years, so there is no reason to issue ultimatums; they should
talk.
Q. Do you have any final appeal for a more peaceful world?
A. We hope now that governments, think tanks, media, and NGO's
will study the proposals the independent Weapons of Mass Destruction
Commission (WMDC) has spent several years putting together. To that end,
the report proposes a U.N. world summit on disarmament, non-proliferation
and curbing the use of weapons of mass destruction.
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